Stay tuned, as i'll be making another blog entry giving you my full length, in depth analysis of each of the teams and the odds released by the TAB. Who's the safest team to bet on; who am I treating as a 'lock' for my own multi's; who offers the most value?
All will be revealed in it's entirety very soon!
Cheers!
Western Bulldogs
If you have any queries, questions, or critiques feel free to post them below or over in the 'chatter-box' located at the right hand side of this blog.
Cheers!
Adelaide
S. Thompson (14), R. Douglas (9), S. Goodwin (6), G. Johncock (5)
Brisbane
J. Brown (12), M. Rischitelli (8), J. Brennan (7), S. Black (7)
Carlton
C. Judd (25), M. Murphy (7), E. Betts (6), K. Simpson (5)
Collingwood
S. Pendlebury (24), D. Swan (19), A. Didak (8), L. Ball (7)
Essendon
Essendon
J. Watson (14), N. Lovett-Murray (5), L. Jetta (4), D. Ryder (3)
Fremantle
Fremantle
M. Barlow (15), A. Sandilands (13), S. Hill (8), M. Pavlich (7)
Geelong
G. Ablett (26), J. Selwood (20), J. Bartel (16), P. Chapman (13)
Hawthorn
Hawthorn
L. Hodge (22), S. Mitchell (13), L. Franklin (9), B. Sewell (6)
Melbourne
C. Sylvia (11), B. Green (10), B. Moloney (8), A. Davey (5)
North Melbourne
A. Swallow (17), B. Harvey (15), D. Wells (8), L. Anthony (4)
Port Adelaide
T. Boak (14), D. Cassissi (9), D. Rodan (8), K. Cornes (6)
Richmond
B. Deledio (9), J. Riewoldt (8), S. Tuck (6), C. Newman (4)
St. Kilda
L. Hayes (21), B. Goddard (14), L. Montagna (14), N. Dal Santo (13)
Sydney
A. Goodes (15), K. Jack (13), J. Bolton (10), D. Hannebery (9)
West Coast
West Coast
M. Priddis (8), M. LeCras (6), D. Cox (4), J. Kennedy (3)
Western Bulldogs
M. Boyd (16), A. Cooney (15), D. Giansiracusa (12), D. Cross (10)
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Colour Key:
GREEN = The most safest picks. These are the players i'll be treating as 'locks/anchors' in a majority of my multis.
ORANGE = These are the players that pose a very small threat to a more favoured 'lock' player where consensus would say they'd be a shoe-in. Think about covering yourself if a massive upset occurs by perhaps leaving this team out of some of your multi's or covering them with this second player in 2%-5% of your multis.
YELLOW = 2 Horse Race. Ie. 95% sure team votes will be won by either player. Thus try and mix it up between these players in various multis in order to cover yourself and maximise your chances of winning.
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Colour Key:
GREEN = The most safest picks. These are the players i'll be treating as 'locks/anchors' in a majority of my multis.
ORANGE = These are the players that pose a very small threat to a more favoured 'lock' player where consensus would say they'd be a shoe-in. Think about covering yourself if a massive upset occurs by perhaps leaving this team out of some of your multi's or covering them with this second player in 2%-5% of your multis.
YELLOW = 2 Horse Race. Ie. 95% sure team votes will be won by either player. Thus try and mix it up between these players in various multis in order to cover yourself and maximise your chances of winning.
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Would like to know the run down of Boaks votes??
ReplyDeleteIts hard to see him getting 14 when he struggled last year and the power have struggled this year to win games
Round 22 - 3 Votes
ReplyDeleteRound 21 - 3 Votes
Round 17 - 1 Vote
Round 11 - 1 Vote
Round 9 - 1 Vote
Round 2 - 3 Votes
Round 1 - 2 Votes
TOTAL = 14.
As is indicated in my team tally above; the only real direct competition I see to Boak is Cassisi and, to a lesser extent, Rodan.
Boak has improved his game no end compared to previous years, and his stats are indicative of this. Check out his stats at http://stats.rleague.com/afl/stats/players/T/Travis_Boak.html
Apart from the increase in his possession count this year compared to last, the one thing that stands out the most to me is the sizeable amount of tackles he's had. Would you believe he has layed 122 tackles as opposed to a modest 72 last year! That on face value alone correlates to Boak having improved the contested possession aspect of his game and shows that he has been involved in a lot more contested/disputed ball - which is a major factor for what I base my votes on and stands out to umpires.
Also, when factoring in the effect team performance may have on individual votes, keep in mind Port has won 2 more games this year compared to last year. (10 wins vs 8 wins)
I still have no doubts that the count at Port will be very close, but for me Boak gets the chocolates. In summary; 2 more wins, an improved contested possession game, and solid performances in 2/3's of Port's winning games makes me quietly confident he'll take it out. Although, I still won't be discounting Cassisi, but the one thing against him is that he doesn't have a great polling history.