Tuesday, September 4, 2012

'Who will be first past the post?' - Round 23, 2012 Wrap.

Well, there we have it!

We've come to the conclusion of the 2012 H&A season, and all that's left to do is go over our phantom counts, step up our analysis and try and narrow down the contenders.

What I will reveal for you from my count is that anyone of Cotchin/Watson/Ablett/Thompson can snatch the win. I think this year is going to be that close it may very well come down to the last round before we know who is going to take home the Charlie. This is the one year out of the past 3 that I have been closely following and analysing the Brownlow where I have a strong feeling there may be a tie.

Of those in the hunt coming into the last round, Thompson, Dangerfield and Ablett are vying for votes. The perennial Brownlow pest, Dane Swan, is wrestling with Cloke for top votes in their sides win over Essendon, whilst Watson's chances of a vote may be compromised by his sides lacklustre performance in the second half of the match. Meanwhile, a late second half blitz by young-gun Trent Cotchin sees him in contention for 3 votes, which may very well prove crucial as to whether he wins the medal.

Over the couple of weeks leading into the count on September 24th I will be writing up several articles on some of the top contenders, and giving an insight into where I think they could finish and analysing their overall chance of taking home Charlie.

The countdown is on!

Below is a list of those who I thought were 'KEY PLAYERS' in each match. Take note that I am deliberately randomising the list, and in no way does the order I list them in reflect who I think will get the 3, 2, 1's.

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Hawthorn vs. West Coast:

Possible Votes: S. Mitchell, S. Selwood, B. Sewell


GWS vs. North Melbourne:

Possible Votes: S. Thompson, T. Greene, B. Cunnington


Geelong vs. Sydney:

Possible Votes: J. Selwood, J. Kelly, P. Chapman


Adelaide vs. Gold Coast:

Possible Votes: S. Thompson, P. Dangerfield, G. Ablett


Essendon vs. Collingwood:

Possible Votes: D. Swan, T. Cloke, D. Beams


Fremantle vs. Melbourne:

Possible Votes: D. Mundy, N. Fyfe, A. Sandilands


Brisbane vs. Western Bulldogs:

Possible Votes: D. Rich, P. Hanley, J. Brown, S. Black, J. Redden


Carlton vs. St. Kilda:

Possible Votes: B. Mclean, J. Waite, D. Armitage, J. Gram, J. Steven


Richmond vs. Port Adelaide:

Possible Votes: J. Riewoldt, T. Cotchin, Brad Ebert.

2 comments:

  1. You don't have Darling in the votes in the Hawthorn game? I thought he stood out a fair bit and was the eagles' best player.

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  2. Darling is the next player I could see polling, perhaps a 1 at most. Selwood's influence was immense, and Sewell was great, but can't see 2 WCE players polling in a loss. However, given the close margin, it's not out of the question.

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