Friday, September 10, 2010

'Go ahead, make my day!' - Release of Group Votes!

"I know what you're thinking: Did the TAB just quote Judd vs Goddard in the H2H at $2.00, or only $1.02? Well, to tell you the truth, in all this excitement I've kinda lost track myself. But being as this is Chris Judd, one of the most powerful guns in the footballing world, and could still yet snatch Ablett's Brownlow clean off, you've got to ask yourself one question: 'Do I feel lucky?' Well, do ya, punk?"

Well, well, well, just when we thought all the value had been sapped away from the 'Most Team Votes' market - the likes of which many of us thought we'd never see again - the TAB comes to the rescue and bestows upon us the glorious Head to Head market that is Judd vs Goddard. And yes, believe it or not Judd has been installed as the outsider in that matchup at $2 up against Goddard at $1.75!!! WTF indeed! Oh, I feel lucky alright!

The beauty of this is that you can now use Judd as an 'anchor' for your Group Vote/H2H multis. ZING! Also, for that added bit of extra value, don't forget you can multi up your Group Vote bets with players from the Most Team Votes market - just as long as that same player doesn't feature in both of those 2 markets.

Here are the Groups, and please note the odds are obviously subject to change, so they may not be as accurate as first depicted here:

Group 1;

SWAN Dane (COLL) 1.90 $
ABLETT Gary (GEEL) 3.75 $
HODGE Luke (HAW) 6.00 $
JUDD Chris (CARL) 7.00 $
PENDLEBURY Sott (COLL) 9.00

Group 2;

SANDILANDS Aaron (FREM) 3.00 $
GODDARD Brendon (STK) 3.00 $
HARVEY Brent (NM) 4.50 $
HAYES Lenny (STK) 5.00 $
GOODES Adam (SYD) 5.50

Group 3;

FRANKLIN Lance (HAW) 3.00 $
CHAPMAN Paul (GEEL) 3.50 $
JACK Kieran (SYD) 3.50 $
BOLTON Jude (SYD) 5.50 $
RIOLI Cyril (HAW) 7.50 $

Group 4;

BROWN Jonathan (BL) 2.50 $
HALL Barry (WBDG) 4.00 $
MITCHELL Sam (HAW) 4.00 $
DAL SANTO Nick (STK) 5.50 $
PAVLICH Matthew (FREM) 7.00 $

Group 5;

BARLOW Michael (FREM) 2.50 $
BARTEL Jimmy (GEEL) 4.50 $
BOYD Matthew (WBDG) 4.50 $
THOMPSON Scott (ADEL) 4.50 $
SWALLOW Andrew (NM) 7.00 $


"So where's the breakdown, what's the value? I gots to knoooow!"

Out of those groups you'll notice i've highlighted those selections that I think are value in green. I won't be touching Group 1, as it is basically the same as betting on the 'Brownlow Winner' market at crappier odds. Hayes is awesome value in Group 2, but I wouldn't say he is a sure thing. I'm confident that Chapman or Jack will take the honours in Group 3, whilst in Group 4 Nicky Dal presents massive value at $5.50. He should be at the very least equal favourite with Brown IMO, but it will be a very tight group given I only have Dal Santo beating the quoted favourite in Brown by one solitary vote. Group 5 presents a no-go-zone to me, as I believe any one of those 5 can win it, but on value alone it might be worth looking at Swallow - but with very little confidence given the competition.

And here are the Head to Heads:
  
H2H 1: 

D. Swan $1.40 vs G. Ablett $2.80

H2h 2: 

L. Hodge $1.75 vs S. Pendlebury $2

H2H 3: 

C. Judd $2 vs B. Goddard $1.75

H2H 4:  

L. Hayes $1.75 vs A. Goodes $2

H2H 5: 

B. Harvey $1.87 vs J. Selwood $1.87


2 comments:

  1. with the H2H's i'm considering judd, hayes and selwood confident winners and have include these three in some new multis. what are your thoughts?

    ReplyDelete
  2. You're on the money, mate. Judd, Hayes, and Selwood are actually the only H2H's i'm confident in. Judd is close to a moral, and the $2 price the TAB have quoted is an absolute joke on their behalf - it's as if they want to lose money!

    Out of the groups, if you were looking to include any in a multi i'd highly recommend including Chapman and Jack from Group 3, as those are the two I can narrow down as winners and am most confident on. Include them in two seperate multis just in case either gets up and you're laughing.

    ReplyDelete